3/5/25 Market Scan

So far, so good. ( $SPY, $XLI )

Disclaimer
This newsletter presents my technical analysis and insights for informational purposes only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is it a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. I am not a licensed financial advisor.
All content reflects my own personal opinions based on publicly available data as of February 26, 2025. I am not liable for any losses incurred by others.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Preface:
An update on Tuesday’s potential low, CLick Here to read that.

I specifically highlighted Tech ETF’s yesterday as the driver of this reversal, but today, another sector has been brought to my attention. XLI.

The S&P500

$650K Call Buyer

SPY Weekly

After yesterday’s loss of support with massive capitulatory volumes on QQQ, the weekly candle is back over this Dark Pool accumulation zone.

Dark Pool (Daily Time Frame and Below)

SPY Daily

This Dark Pool came in yesterday-
Turning it into support is the next step to confirm short-term upside.

Today’s candle formed an inside bar, compressing price and emotions as traders aren’t 100% sure where the market wants to go from here.

Remember, if this short-term bottom fails, nothing is actually wrong with the market. Things could get “scary” to the downside, but the HISTORIC accumulations we’re seeing underway would not change.

Let me remind you, AGAIN, that April 2022 was the largest down candle in SPY history and it was right after crystal clear Dark Pool accumulation took place.
It’s always a possibility something like this happens again.
It’s not a guarantee though. I am already buying the market.

SPY Monthly

XLI

$1.39M Call Buyer
$1.33M Put Seller
(Bullish Risk Reversal)

$710K Put Buyer
$2.38 Put Seller
(Bullish Credit)

Monthly Interval

Discount sell off recent ATH’s, retesting largest DP on record and showing active accumulation already.

Weekly

Shows the Dark Pool accumulation here extremely well.

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